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Lex Fridman · 2021-06-14 · 4h 15m

Daniel Schmachtenberger: Steering Civilization Away from Self-Destruction | Lex Fridman Podcast #191

Daniel Schmachtenberger maps why every powerful civilization self-terminates and how love, better sense-making, and emergent governance could steer humanity past extinction.

Daniel Schmachtenberger: Steering Civilization Away from Self-Destruction | Lex Fridman Podcast #191
The guest

Daniel Schmachtenberger — Founding member of the Consilience Project focused on improving public sense-making and dialogue. A systems thinker known for work on existential risk, civilizational collapse, and how societies can responsibly steward exponential technology.

The gist

Lex Fridman and Daniel Schmachtenberger range from aliens and consciousness to the core question of how human civilization avoids self-destruction. Schmachtenberger argues that exponential technology creates catastrophic risks (war/arms races and runaway externalities) that our old social technologies cannot contain. He frames most civilizations as self-terminating systems that debase their own substrate, and contends the post-WWII Bretton Woods order is failing. His proposed path forward is 'social technology' that enables emergent (not imposed) order, comprehensive civic education, fiduciary-aligned tech, and a cultural renaissance, with rigorous empathy and 'compersion' (joy at others' success) as guiding human values.

Big reveals

  • Schmachtenberger argues that if UFOs are alien tech, they'd be 'the dumbest version of alien technology'—truly advanced aliens would be imperceptible to us.
  • He states he does NOT believe consciousness is an emergent property of biology, treating first-person and third-person as ontologically orthogonal.
  • An Aboriginal Australian scholar's critique that Girard 'just made shit up'—tribes resolved conflict by dancing around the fire, no scapegoating needed.
  • Core thesis: human civilization is a self-terminating system that debases the very substrate it depends on.
  • He says it's easy for any competent person to devise ways to kill many people, yet pro-social human nature keeps mass murder rare.
  • His favorite civilizational health metric is the inverse of addiction—the more addiction a society produces, the less healthy it is.
  • He warns corporations are becoming more powerful than nation states, creating a 'new feudalism' that debases democracies.
  • Schmachtenberger admits embarrassment over a militant New-Atheist phase in his 20s when he was dismissive of his father's epistemology.

Things worth remembering

  • Lex calculated the brain does ~20 quadrillion synaptic operations per second on roughly three bananas of energy, about a million times a state-of-the-art CPU.
  • Human infants take a year to walk versus 20 minutes for a horse—we are essentially fetal on the outside because of upright hips and big heads.
  • Humans aren't apex predators but 'in-apex predators'—a mile-long drift net depletes entire schools, something no orca can do.
  • We went from two superpowers with one catastrophe weapon to eight or nine nuclear states plus cheap, decentralized catastrophe weapons like armed drones.
  • Compersion—feeling genuine happiness at another's success—is so rare in English it lacks a common word, which he calls a cultural problem.
  • The ox-drawn plow ended animism, shifted caloric production to men, and skewed religions toward male gods—feminism later 'followed the tractor.'
  • Washington reportedly said the federal government's number one aim should be comprehensive education of citizens in the 'science of government.'
  • A founding-era idea that 'voting is the death of democracy'—real democracy was crafting propositions together in the town hall, not just voting yes/no.
  • He warns regulation of self-replicating or autopoetic AI must come early, since by the time harm is visible it can't be reversed.
  • Both Lex and Daniel independently describe a psychedelic experience of crying at a tree's undistorted beauty once the mind's narrative shut off.

Recommended in this episode

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